Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lorenzo Casini, Trestina
The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Foligno Calcio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Sporting Trestina (1,614) and Foligno Calcio (1,703).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
Foligno Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Foligno Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Trestina have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Foligno Calcio have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Trestina wins, 1 draw, 3 Foligno Calcio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Foligno Calcio 3-1 Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Sporting Trestina 0-1 Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 8, 2022 | Sporting Trestina 2-0 Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Foligno Calcio 1-3 Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Sporting Trestina 1-2 Foligno Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Sporting Trestina 2-2 Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Trestina score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Foligno Calcio score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Trestina | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Foligno Calcio | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Trestina sit 18th in Serie D - Girone F (4 points from 8 matches) and Foligno Calcio sit 4th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio played?
- Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lorenzo Casini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.