Match

Santegidiese vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F · Matchday 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

SantegidieseL'Aquila

The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Santegidiese. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santegidiese vs L'Aquila?

L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,655).

22%26%52%
Santegidiese winDrawL'Aquila win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs L'Aquila

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Santegidiese

Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.

L'Aquila

Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 defeats; L'Aquila have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santegidiese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Fossombrone(away)1-4Serie D - Girone F
Nov 1, 2026Termoli Calcio(home)0-0Serie D - Girone F
Oct 25, 2026Sporting Trestina(away)1-2Serie D - Girone F
Oct 18, 2026Vigor Senigallia(home)0-2Serie D - Girone F
Oct 11, 2026L'Aquila(away)1-2Serie D - Girone F
L'Aquila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Montecchio Gallo(home)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Nov 1, 2026Notaresco(away)0-0Serie D - Girone F
Oct 28, 2026Real Normanna(away)0-6Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 25, 2026Foligno Calcio(home)3-2Serie D - Girone F
Oct 18, 2026Recanatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Santegidiese wins, 0 draws, 1 L'Aquila win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026L'Aquila 2-1 SantegidieseSerie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: L'Aquila vs Santegidiese on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santegidiese score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 10; L'Aquila score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santegidiese0.71.626/104/10
L'Aquila1.81.177/158/15

Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santegidiese sit 17th in Serie D - Girone F (9 points from 11 matches) and L'Aquila sit 2nd (25 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2L'Aquila1174021825
17Santegidiese112369179

A question about Santegidiese vs L'Aquila?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs L'Aquila?
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Santegidiese.
Where and when is Santegidiese vs L'Aquila played?
Santegidiese vs L'Aquila is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Santegidiese and L'Aquila