Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Rubén Deras, Choloma
The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Choloma. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia?
CD Olimpia is a heavy favourite: 1,917 Elo points against 1,559, a 358-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Choloma
4-3-3- 2K. Álvarez
- 25G. Obed Mejia Machado
- 19Olvin Zamora
- 29E. Florez
- 10J. Canales
- 11Alvarado
- 23H. Castillo
- 18J. Quejada
- 21J. Capeluto
- 28J. Barrios
- 24J. Pineda
CD Olimpia
4-4-2- 7I. Enríquez
- 9J. Benguché
- 8E. Rodríguez
- 23J. Álvarez
- 20A. Maldonado
- 14J. Jean-Baptiste
- 2E. Hernández
- 3Clinton Bennett
- 18R. García
- 6F. García
- 1E. Menjívar
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Choloma have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; CD Olimpia have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Génesis(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juticalpa(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Estrella Roja(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Real Espana(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Génesis(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atlético Choloma wins, 1 draw, 5 CD Olimpia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Choloma 1-3 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 26, 2026 | CD Olimpia 3-0 Atlético Choloma | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2025 | CD Olimpia 2-0 Atlético Choloma | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Atlético Choloma 2-7 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 7, 2013 | Atlético Choloma 2-2 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 27, 2013 | CD Olimpia 2-1 Atlético Choloma | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Choloma score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CD Olimpia score 2.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Choloma | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| CD Olimpia | 2.2 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Choloma sit 5th in Liga Nacional (13 points from 11 matches) and CD Olimpia sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Choloma.
- Where and when is Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia played?
- Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Rubén Deras, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.