Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Independiente the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lobos Upnfm. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Independiente wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Atletico Independiente (1,612) and Lobos Upnfm (1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Independiente
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Independiente lineup.
Lobos Upnfm
4-3-3- 11S. Elvir
- 10Yeferson Hinestroza
- 32M. Baquedano
- 6J. Ponce
- 8J. Núñez
- 26B. Lopez
- 2D. Suazo
- 24O. Elvir
- 20E. López
- 3G. Rodas
- 12A. Güity
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Atletico Independiente have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lobos Upnfm have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olancho(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Juticalpa(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Platense FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Marathon(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platense FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Choloma(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Espana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juticalpa(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Independiente score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 9; Lobos Upnfm score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Independiente | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Lobos Upnfm | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Independiente sit 7th in Liga Nacional (10 points from 9 matches) and Lobos Upnfm sit 9th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Independiente the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lobos Upnfm.
- Where and when is Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm played?
- Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.