CD Olimpia vs Real Espana: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa
The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Espana. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Olimpia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?
CD Olimpia starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CD Olimpia
4-4-2- 7I. Enríquez
- 26D. Ramirez
- 18R. García
- 20A. Maldonado
- 25D. Paguada
- 8E. Rodríguez
- 2E. Hernández
- 3Clinton Bennett
- 12C. Canales
- 15K. Guity
- 22O. Rodríguez
Real Espana
4-3-3- 11E. Hernández
- 54M. Arana
- 30D. Sayago
- 36R. Osorto
- 7A. Garcia
- 10J. Benavidez
- 5F. Flores
- 6D. García
- 28C. Mejía
- 25M. Pereira
- 22L. López
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Olimpia have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Real Espana have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Génesis(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estrella Roja(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Olancho(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Atlético Choloma(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CD Olimpia wins, 1 draw, 2 Real Espana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | CD Olimpia 3-2 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Espana 3-1 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Espana 3-2 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 8, 2026 | CD Olimpia 1-1 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 28, 2025 | CD Olimpia 1-0 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Real Espana 0-1 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: CD Olimpia vs Real Espana on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CD Olimpia score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Espana score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Olimpia | 2.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Espana | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Olimpia sit 2nd in Liga Nacional (20 points from 9 matches) and Real Espana sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 20 |
A question about CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?
- The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Espana.
- Where and when is CD Olimpia vs Real Espana played?
- CD Olimpia vs Real Espana is played on October 16, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.