Match

CD Marathon vs Olancho: prediction and stats

Liga NacionalApertura - 10Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula

CD MarathonOlancho

The Footlab AI model makes CD Marathon the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Olancho. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Marathon vs Olancho?

On Elo ratings, CD Marathon has 1,790 points and Olancho 1,698.

56%27%17%
CD Marathon winDrawOlancho win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CD Marathon vs Olancho

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CD Marathon

4-3-3
  1. 11N. Messiniti
  2. 29C. Perez
  3. 74L. Carcamo
  1. 8T. Sorto
  2. 72Y. Moreno
  3. 9B. Farioli
  1. 22C. Argueta
  2. 2H. Figueroa
  3. 4J. Rivera
  4. 19J. Aguilera
  1. 1J. Rougier

Olancho

4-3-3
  1. 27J. Bengtson
  2. 20Y. A. Cabrera
  3. 30M. Ramírez
  1. 33N. Muñoz
  2. 2O. Almendárez
  3. 8H. Gomez
  1. 22Robertino Canavesio
  2. 15O. Padilla
  3. 7D. Rodríguez
  4. 5D. Martinez
  1. 29G. Argueta

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Marathon have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Olancho have 3, 8 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CD Marathon
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lobos Upnfm(away)0-0Liga Nacional
Sep 21, 2026Juticalpa(away)2-3Liga Nacional
Sep 18, 2026LD Alajuelense(away)1-3CONCACAF Central American Cup
Sep 13, 2026CD Olimpia(home)1-0Liga Nacional
Sep 11, 2026LD Alajuelense(home)2-2CONCACAF Central American Cup
Olancho
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Atletico Independiente(home)1-1Liga Nacional
Sep 19, 2026Génesis(away)0-0Liga Nacional
Sep 12, 2026Real Espana(home)1-1Liga Nacional
Sep 5, 2026Atlético Choloma(away)0-0Liga Nacional
Aug 30, 2026CD Motagua(away)1-2Liga Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CD Marathon wins, 2 draws, 1 Olancho win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026CD Marathon 0-2 OlanchoLiga Nacional
Feb 21, 2026Olancho 1-1 CD MarathonLiga Nacional
Dec 28, 2025CD Marathon 2-1 OlanchoLiga Nacional
Dec 12, 2025Olancho 0-3 CD MarathonLiga Nacional
Nov 1, 2025CD Marathon 2-1 OlanchoLiga Nacional
Aug 24, 2025Olancho 1-1 CD MarathonLiga Nacional

Last archived meeting: CD Marathon vs Olancho on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CD Marathon score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Olancho score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CD Marathon1.50.886/157/15
Olancho0.91.149/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CD Marathon sit 3rd in Liga Nacional (18 points from 9 matches) and Olancho sit 5th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3CD Marathon953114618
5Olancho92617612

A question about CD Marathon vs Olancho?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Marathon vs Olancho?
The Footlab AI model makes CD Marathon the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Olancho.
Where and when is CD Marathon vs Olancho played?
CD Marathon vs Olancho is played on October 15, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, in the Liga Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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