Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on September 28, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
Atletico Madrid won 1-0 on September 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 35′Y. CarrascoAtletico Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bayern München have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Barcelona(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2016 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Celta Vigo(away) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2016 | Hamburger SV(away) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Hertha BSC(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2016 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2016 | FC Rostov(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 9, 2016 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atletico Madrid win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bayern München win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2016 | Bayern München 2-1 Atletico Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Atletico Madrid 1-0 Bayern München | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs Atletico Madrid on May 3, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Bayern München | 2.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 14th in UEFA Champions League (13 points from 8 matches) and Bayern München sit 2nd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 21 |
| 14 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy