VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Madrid. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfB Stuttgart wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
On Elo ratings, VfB Stuttgart has 2,267 points and Atletico Madrid 2,198.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1- 9E. Demirović
- 6A. Stiller
- 26D. Undav
- 10C. Führich
- 18J. Leweling
- 16A. Karazor
- 21G. Prömel
- 24J. Chabot
- 7M. Mittelstädt
- 3R. Hendriks
- 41D. Seimen
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 15J. David
- 7Lee Kang-In
- 20G. Simeone
- 11A. Lookman
- 5J. Cardoso
- 6Koke
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 21C. Romero
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 13J. Oblak
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Atletico Madrid have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Stuttgart score 3.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Madrid score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Stuttgart sit 7th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 1 match) and Atletico Madrid sit 26th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A question about VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
- The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Madrid.
- Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid played?
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid is played on October 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.