Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on April 27, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
Atletico Madrid won 1-0 on April 27, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 11′SaúlAtletico Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2016 | Malaga(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Apr 20, 2016 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Granada CF(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Apr 13, 2016 | Barcelona(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Espanyol(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2016 | Hertha BSC(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Apr 16, 2016 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Apr 13, 2016 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 9, 2016 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Bayern München | 2.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 14th in UEFA Champions League (13 points from 8 matches) and Bayern München sit 2nd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 21 |
| 14 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy