Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 16Kick-off on March 12, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
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What was the result of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
Atletico Madrid won 1-0 on March 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′C. GallagherAtletico Madrid
- 120′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid (pen.)
- 120′A. SørlothAtletico Madrid (pen.)
- 120′J. BellinghamReal Madrid (pen.)
- 120′F. ValverdeReal Madrid (pen.)
- 120′Á. CorreaAtletico Madrid (pen.)
- 120′A. RüdigerReal Madrid (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Madrid have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Getafe(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Barcelona(away) | 4-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Valencia(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Real Betis(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Real Sociedad(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Girona(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Madrid win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Real Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 4-2 Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico Madrid | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 14th in UEFA Champions League (13 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid sit 9th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 14 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy