Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 16Kick-off on March 12, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
Atletico Madrid won 1-0 on March 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′C. GallagherAtletico Madrid
Official lineup for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 19J. Álvarez
- 7A. Griezmann
- 4C. Gallagher
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 5R. De Paul
- 22G. Simeone
- 23Reinildo
- 15C. Lenglet
- 2J. Giménez
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13J. Oblak
Real Madrid
4-4-2- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 9Kylian Mbappé
- 5J. Bellingham
- 14A. Tchouaméni
- 10L. Modrić
- 11Rodrygo
- 23F. Mendy
- 22A. Rüdiger
- 35Raúl Asencio
- 8F. Valverde
- 1T. Courtois
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Madrid have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Getafe(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Barcelona(away) | 4-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Valencia(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Real Betis(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Real Sociedad(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Girona(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Madrid win, 3 draws, 2 Real Madrid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 4-2 Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico Madrid | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 16th in UEFA Champions League (4 points from 3 matches) and Real Madrid sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy