Levante vs Atletico Madrid: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Madrid. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (2,241 vs 2,043).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levante have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Madrid have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Levante win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atletico Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Levante 0-2 Atletico Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Atletico Madrid 0-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Levante 2-2 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Atletico Madrid 0-2 Levante | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Levante vs Atletico Madrid on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Madrid score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levante sit 20th in La Liga (0 points from 1 matches) and Atletico Madrid sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 20 | Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
- The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Madrid.
- Where and when is Levante vs Atletico Madrid played?
- Levante vs Atletico Madrid is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.