Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio das Seixas, Malveira, Mafra
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Malveira the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Mortágua. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Malveira wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Atlético Malveira (1,853) and Mortágua (1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Malveira
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Malveira lineup.
Mortágua
4-3-3- 10João Pais
- 45S. Camara
- 27J. Rianco
- 16A. Sena
- 7Artur Simionato
- 23I. Afonso Figueiredo Antunes
- 2H. Lopes
- 39J. Ferrao
- 5C. Silva
- 3T. Pereira
- 55A. Verdade
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Malveira have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mortágua have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sertanense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leça(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Malveira score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mortágua score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Malveira | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mortágua | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Malveira sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (8 points from 6 matches) and Mortágua sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Malveira the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Mortágua.
- Where and when is Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua played?
- Atlético Malveira vs Mortágua is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio das Seixas, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.