O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas
The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Malveira. The most likely score is 1-1. If O Elvas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira?
On Elo ratings, O Elvas has 1,915 points and Atlético Malveira 1,845.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
O Elvas
Not enough data to predict the O Elvas lineup.
Atlético Malveira
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Malveira lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, O Elvas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Malveira have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Naval 1893(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sertanense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 O Elvas win, 0 draws, 1 Atlético Malveira win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | O Elvas 1-3 Atlético Malveira | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Atlético Malveira 0-1 O Elvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
O Elvas score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Malveira score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Elvas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Malveira | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
O Elvas sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (13 points from 6 matches) and Atlético Malveira sit 7th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
A question about O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira?
- The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Malveira.
- Where and when is O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira played?
- O Elvas vs Atlético Malveira is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.