Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo played?

Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético Mansillés

Guijuelo

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Guijuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,781) and Guijuelo (1,844).

Atlético Mansillés win35 %

Draw31 %

Guijuelo win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Guijuelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	Ribert(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guijuelo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 18, 2026	Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 7, 2025	Guijuelo 1-0 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15
Guijuelo	1.7	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Guijuelo sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	54	26	70
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Guijuelo.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo played?: Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.