Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque: prediction and stats
CONMEBOL SudamericanaSemi-finalsKick-off on October 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico-MG the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Atletico Torque. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
On Elo ratings, Atletico-MG has 1,883 points and Atletico Torque 1,900.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 19Reinier
- 11Bernard
- 7Fred
- 8Maycon
- 28T. Cuello
- 21A. Franco
- 2Natanael
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 6Renan Lodi
- 13Lyanco
- 1Gabriel Delfim
Atletico Torque
4-3-3- 7Luka Andrade
- 9S. Rodríguez
- 30J. Quintana
- 20G. Montes
- 8P. Siles
- 5F. Pizzichillo
- 3K. Silva
- 17E. Agüero
- 22B. Gutierrez
- 26F. Silvera
- 1F. Torgnascioli
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Torque have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Santos(home) | 4-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 3-3 | Copa Uruguay |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Torque score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico Torque | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 1st in CONMEBOL Sudamericana (10 points from 6 matches) and Atletico Torque sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MGGroup B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 1 | Atletico TorqueGroup F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico-MG the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Atletico Torque.
- Where and when is Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque played?
- Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque is played on October 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Arena MRV, in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.