Atletico-MG vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 17, 2018 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on November 17, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 51′J. CazaresAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Bahia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 11Y. Chará
- 27Luan
- 9Ricardo de Oliveira
- 10J. Cazares
- 7Elias
- 21Adílson Warken
- 28Iago Maidana
- 29Patric
- 3Leonardo Silva
- 6Fábio Santos
- 1Victor
Bahia
4-2-3-1- 7Élber
- 11Edigar Junio
- 18Eric Ramires
- 5Flávio
- 26Gregore
- 19Nilton Ferreira Júnior
- 16Paulinho
- 3Tiago Pagnussat
- 4Jackson
- 22Bruno
- 1Douglas Friedrich
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2018 | Parana(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Gremio(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2018 | Ceara(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2018 | Ceara(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Vitoria(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win, 4 draws, 1 Bahia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2018 | Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2017 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Bahia 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 6th in Serie A (50 points from 31 matches) and Bahia sit 7th (49 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 49 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy