Atletico-MG vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 17, 2018 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on November 17, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 51′J. CazaresAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2018 | Parana(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Gremio(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2018 | Ceara(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2018 | Ceara(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Vitoria(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2018 | Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2017 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Bahia 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 9th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy