Atletico-MG vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 27, 2011 at 10:35 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on July 27, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 75′André FelipeAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fluminense have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2011 | America Mineiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2011 | Ceara(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2011 | Internacional(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2011 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2011 | Coritiba(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Atletico-MG win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2010 | Fluminense 5-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| May 30, 2010 | Atletico-MG 1-3 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Atletico-MG on Sep 24, 2010
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 8th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy