Vasco DA Gama vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 28, 2011 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Bahia?
Vasco DA Gama and Bahia drew 1-1 on July 28, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 5′ReinaldoBahia
- 90′EltonVasco DA Gama
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 2, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2011 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 9, 2011 | Internacional(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2011 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 29, 2011 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2011 | Coritiba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2011 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2011 | Avai(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2011 | Corinthians(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasco DA Gama sit 19th in Serie A (22 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy