Coritiba vs Sao Paulo: result 3-4 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 28, 2011 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba, Paraná
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What was the result of Coritiba vs Sao Paulo?
Sao Paulo won 3-4 on July 28, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 18′Carlos Pereira Berto JuniorSao Paulo
- 23′54878Sao Paulo
- 30′Dagoberto PelentierSao Paulo
- 54′Lucas MouraSao Paulo
- 67′Rafael da Silva FranciscoCoritiba
- 74′BillCoritiba
- 86′BillCoritiba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Coritiba have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sao Paulo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2011 | Bahia(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2011 | Fluminense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2011 | Ceara(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Internacional(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 9, 2011 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2011 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2011 | Botafogo(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Coritiba score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 11; Sao Paulo score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/11 | 7/11 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coritiba sit 10th in Serie A (31 points from 23 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy