Atletico-MG vs Santos: result 4-2 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Santos?
Atletico-MG won 4-2 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 1′BernardAtletico-MG
- 20′ReinierAtletico-MG
- 28′LyancoSantos (o.g.)
- 41′ReinierAtletico-MG
- 72′Gabriel BarbosaSantos
- 90′T. CuelloAtletico-MG
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Atletico-MG win at 51%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Santos
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 19Reinier
- 11Bernard
- 7Fred
- 28T. Cuello
- 15K. Castaño
- 8Maycon
- 6Renan Lodi
- 13Lyanco
- 40Vitão
- 21A. Franco
- 1Gabriel Delfim
Santos
4-2-3-1- 9Gabriel Barbosa
- 11Rony
- 32B. Rollheiser
- 8Gabriel Bontempo
- 5João Schmidt
- 48Gustavo Henrique Pereira
- 31G. Escobar
- 14Luan Peres
- 15Willian Arão
- 23Rodinei
- 77Gabriel Brazão
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Santos have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win, 2 draws, 3 Santos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Santos 2-0 Atletico-MG | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Santos 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Santos 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Santos 0-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santos score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Santos | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 1st in CONMEBOL Sudamericana (10 points from 6 matches) and Santos sit 2nd (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MGGroup B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | SantosGroup D | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Santos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy