Match

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais

Atletico-MGCruzeiro

The Footlab AI model makes Atletico-MG the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Cruzeiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico-MG wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,900 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Atletico-MG (1,919) and Cruzeiro (1,918).

40%25%35%
Atletico-MG winDrawCruzeiro win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1
  1. 18T. Borbas
  1. 5Alexsander
  2. 39Mamady Cisse
  3. 17Igor Gomes
  4. 27A. Minda
  5. 11Bernard
  1. 2Natanael
  2. 14Vitor Hugo
  3. 36K. Pascini
  4. 3Léo Duarte
  1. 1Gabriel Delfim

Cruzeiro

4-2-3-1
  1. 19Kaio Jorge
  1. 10Matheus Pereira
  2. 8Gerson
  3. 99K. Arroyo
  4. 5Zé Lucas
  5. 29L. Romero
  1. 43João Marcelo
  2. 34Jonathan
  3. 12William
  4. 27G. Rojas
  1. 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Cruzeiro have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico-MG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Coritiba(home)1-0Serie A
Oct 14, 2026Atletico Torque(home)3-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Oct 11, 2026Santos(home)2-1Serie A
Oct 8, 2026Atletico Paranaense(away)2-2Serie A
Oct 3, 2026RB Bragantino(home)1-0Serie A
Cruzeiro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Gremio(away)4-2Serie A
Oct 13, 2026RB Bragantino(away)2-4Serie A
Oct 8, 2026Sao Paulo(home)2-0Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Vitoria(away)3-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Santos(away)1-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG wins, 2 draws, 1 Cruzeiro win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 2, 2026Atletico-MG 2-1 CruzeiroCopa Do Brasil
Aug 26, 2026Cruzeiro 1-1 Atletico-MGCopa Do Brasil
May 3, 2026Cruzeiro 1-3 Atletico-MGSerie A
Mar 8, 2026Cruzeiro 1-0 Atletico-MGMineiro - 1
Jan 25, 2026Atletico-MG 2-1 CruzeiroMineiro - 1
Oct 16, 2025Atletico-MG 1-1 CruzeiroSerie A

Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro on Sep 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atletico-MG1.61.149/158/15
Cruzeiro1.91.5213/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico-MG sit 6th in Serie A (50 points from 31 matches) and Cruzeiro sit 4th (51 points from 31 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Cruzeiro3115610504651
6Atletico-MG311489423550

A question about Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico-MG the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Cruzeiro.
Where and when is Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro played?
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Arena MRV, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atletico-MG and Cruzeiro

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