Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Paso wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,884) and RSD Alcalá (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Paso
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.
RSD Alcalá
4-3-3- 7Albur
- 10Izan
- 23I. Robledo
- 11Javi Hernández
- 7J. Arribas
- 8S. Marcos
- 12M. Lopez
- 5J. Jimenez
- 22D. Nieto
- 4Chete
- 1I. Gil
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Paso | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| RSD Alcalá | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Paso sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (9 points from 9 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Atlético Paso | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | RSD Alcalá | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá played?
- Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 8, 2026Albacete IIvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Nov 8, 2026A Madrid IIIvsAtlético Tordesillas
- Nov 8, 2026Real ÁvilavsSalamanca UDS
- Nov 8, 2026CF TalaveravsConquense