Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
On Elo ratings, Numancia has 1,976 points and Calvo Sotelo 1,895.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Numancia
4-3-3- 9Jony González
- 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
- 26C. Godson
- 8M. Gning
- 5O. De Frutos
- 6N. Lucas Rey
- 2Marcos Sánchez
- 16Carlos Gutiérrez
- 22Fermín Ruiz
- 4Ian Olivera
- 1M. Abad
Calvo Sotelo
Not enough data to predict the Calvo Sotelo lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Numancia sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 5 matches) and Calvo Sotelo sit 17th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Calvo Sotelo.
- Where and when is Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo played?
- Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026CF TalaveravsConquense
- Nov 8, 2026Getafe IIvsSS Reyes
- Nov 8, 2026Atlético AstorgavsReal Valladolid II
- Nov 8, 2026Real ÁvilavsSalamanca UDS
- Nov 8, 2026CalamochavsRSD Alcalá
- Nov 8, 2026Albacete IIvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Nov 8, 2026GuadalajaravsNavalcarnero
- Nov 8, 2026A Madrid IIIvsAtlético Tordesillas