Match

RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares

RSD AlcaláA Madrid III

The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If RSD Alcalá wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,242 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate RSD Alcalá (1,887) and A Madrid III (1,903).

43%27%30%
RSD Alcalá winDrawA Madrid III win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

A Madrid III

Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; A Madrid III have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026SS Reyes(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
A Madrid III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Conquense(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Real Madrid III(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026Atlético Paso(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RSD Alcalá1.51.168/1510/15
A Madrid III1.81.149/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RSD Alcalá sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 7 matches) and A Madrid III sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2A Madrid III742110714
11RSD Alcalá722310108

A question about RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for A Madrid III.
Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III played?
RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: RSD Alcalá and A Madrid III

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