Match

Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético PasoTenerife II

The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,873) and Tenerife II (1,847).

Atlético Paso win48 %
Draw29 %
Tenerife II win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Tenerife II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Herbania(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026Telde(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026Marino(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Tenerife(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026SS Reyes(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Conquense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026CD Coria(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Elche II(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atlético Paso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tenerife II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2025Atlético Paso 3-2 Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Jan 8, 2025Tenerife II 3-2 Atlético PasoSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 17, 2022Tenerife II 3-1 Atlético PasoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Dec 5, 2021Atlético Paso 1-0 Tenerife IITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Mar 28, 2021Atlético Paso 3-1 Tenerife IITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 1, 2020Tenerife II 1-2 Atlético PasoTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II on Apr 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso1.40.496/154/15
Tenerife II1.82.039/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tenerife II.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II played?
Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atlético Paso and Tenerife II

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