Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso
The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,873) and Tenerife II (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Tenerife II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Telde(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atlético Paso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tenerife II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atlético Paso 3-2 Tenerife II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Tenerife II 3-2 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Tenerife II 3-1 Atlético Paso | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Atlético Paso 1-0 Tenerife II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Atlético Paso 3-1 Tenerife II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Tenerife II 1-2 Atlético Paso | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Paso | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Tenerife II | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tenerife II.
- Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II played?
- Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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