Match

Tenerife II vs Sanluqueño: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Tenerife IISanluqueño

The Footlab model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tenerife II vs Sanluqueño?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Tenerife II (1,847) and Sanluqueño (1,752).

Tenerife II win54 %
Draw27 %
Sanluqueño win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sanluqueño have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tenerife II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Tenerife(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026SS Reyes(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Conquense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026CD Coria(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Elche II(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sanluqueño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Villarreal II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Teruel(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 9, 2026Algeciras(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Ibiza(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Alcorcon(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tenerife II1.82.039/1514/15
Sanluqueño0.51.545/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tenerife II vs Sanluqueño?
The Footlab model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Sanluqueño.
Where and when is Tenerife II vs Sanluqueño played?
Tenerife II vs Sanluqueño is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tenerife II and Sanluqueño

Ready to know everything about football?