Match

Marbella vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella

MarbellaAtlético Paso

The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marbella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbella vs Atlético Paso?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Marbella (1,799) and Atlético Paso (1,867).

40%29%31%
Marbella winDrawAtlético Paso win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marbella vs Atlético Paso

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marbella

4-3-3
  1. 20J. Cambra
  2. 17Alexiel
  3. 19E. Ohemeng
  1. 8Eugeni Valderrama
  2. 16A. Ruiz
  3. 10A. Gil
  1. 22J. Rodriguez
  2. 23Alberto Escassi
  3. 2J. Alvarez
  4. 5A. Carbonell
  1. 1Manu García

Atlético Paso

Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Paso have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Estepona(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Badajoz(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Real Betis II(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Puente Genil(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Atlético Central(home)4-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Atlético Paso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Conquense(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 3, 2026Real Madrid III(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Albacete II(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026A Madrid III(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marbella1.21.836/157/15
Atlético Paso1.10.967/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Marbella7133696

A question about Marbella vs Atlético Paso?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Atlético Paso?
The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Atlético Paso.
Where and when is Marbella vs Atlético Paso played?
Marbella vs Atlético Paso is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marbella and Atlético Paso

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