Atlético Porcuna vs Granada II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Benito, Porcuna
The Footlab model makes Atlético Porcuna the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Porcuna vs Granada II?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Atlético Porcuna (1,713) and Granada II (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Porcuna have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Granada II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Motril(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | El Palo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Atlético Porcuna win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Granada II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Granada II 3-1 Atlético Porcuna | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Atlético Porcuna 1-2 Granada II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Granada II vs Atlético Porcuna on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Porcuna score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Porcuna | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Porcuna sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (46 points from 34 matches) and Granada II sit 11th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41 | 39 | 46 |
| 11 | Granada II | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Porcuna vs Granada II?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Porcuna the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Granada II.
- Where and when is Atlético Porcuna vs Granada II played?
- Atlético Porcuna vs Granada II is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Benito, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.