Where and when is Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega played?

Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande

Alhaurino

Churriana Vega

The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Churriana Vega. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Alhaurino (1,706) and Churriana Vega (1,744).

Alhaurino win49 %

Draw29 %

Churriana Vega win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Churriana Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alhaurino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mancha Real(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Torreperogil(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Churriana Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Motril(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Motril(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	El Palo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	UD San Pedro(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alhaurino win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Churriana Vega win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Alhaurino 4-0 Churriana Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 21, 2025	Churriana Vega 0-0 Alhaurino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Churriana Vega score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alhaurino	1.2	1.0	5	7/15	6/15
Churriana Vega	0.9	1.3	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alhaurino sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (43 points from 34 matches) and Churriana Vega sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Churriana Vega	34	14	10	10	32	40	52
12	Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41	41	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega?: The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Churriana Vega.
Where and when is Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega played?: Alhaurino vs Churriana Vega is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.