Where and when is Huétor Vega vs Marbelli played?

Huétor Vega vs Marbelli is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Huétor Vega vs Marbelli: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Viñas, Huétor Vega

Huétor Vega

Marbelli

The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Huétor Vega vs Marbelli?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Huétor Vega (1,756) and Marbelli (1,773).

Huétor Vega win41 %

Draw30 %

Marbelli win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huétor Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Marbelli have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Huétor Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Martos(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Marbelli(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Mancha Real(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Huétor Vega win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marbelli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega 1-1 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 21, 2025	Marbelli 2-0 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 11, 2025	Huétor Vega 3-0 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 12, 2025	Marbelli 1-0 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Marbelli on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Huétor Vega	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Huétor Vega sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (45 points from 34 matches) and Marbelli sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51
10	Huétor Vega	34	12	9	13	43	42	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Huétor Vega vs Marbelli?: The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Marbelli.
Where and when is Huétor Vega vs Marbelli played?: Huétor Vega vs Marbelli is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.