Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Matías Prats, Torredonjimeno
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Torredonjimeno the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Arenas Armilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Arenas Armilla?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Ciudad de Torredonjimeno (1,727) and Arenas Armilla (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Torredonjimeno have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Motril(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 31, 2026 | Motril(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Arenas Armilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 0-2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 1-1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Arenas Armilla 2-1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 0-2 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Arenas Armilla on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Arenas Armilla | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (50 points from 34 matches) and Arenas Armilla sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 29 | 54 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Arenas Armilla?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Torredonjimeno the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Arenas Armilla.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Arenas Armilla played?
- Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Arenas Armilla is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Matías Prats, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.