Atlético Pulpileño vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Pulpí
The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Pulpileño. The most likely score is 1-1. If UCAM Murcia II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Pulpileño vs UCAM Murcia II?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Atlético Pulpileño (1,722) and UCAM Murcia II (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Pulpileño vs UCAM Murcia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Pulpileño
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Pulpileño lineup.
UCAM Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the UCAM Murcia II lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Pulpileño have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético Pulpileño wins, 1 draw, 3 UCAM Murcia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II 2-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II 0-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Atlético Pulpileño 0-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | UCAM Murcia II 1-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Atlético Pulpileño on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Pulpileño score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Pulpileño | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| UCAM Murcia II | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Pulpileño sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (11 points from 9 matches) and UCAM Murcia II sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UCAM Murcia II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Atlético Pulpileño | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Atlético Pulpileño vs UCAM Murcia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Pulpileño vs UCAM Murcia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Pulpileño.
- Where and when is Atlético Pulpileño vs UCAM Murcia II played?
- Atlético Pulpileño vs UCAM Murcia II is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.