Where and when is Alcantarilla vs Cartagena LU II played?

Alcantarilla vs Cartagena LU II is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alcantarilla vs Cartagena LU II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, Alcantarilla

Alcantarilla

Cartagena LU II

The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcantarilla vs Cartagena LU II?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Alcantarilla (1,594) and Cartagena LU II (1,690).

Alcantarilla win34 %

Draw29 %

Cartagena LU II win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcantarilla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cartagena LU II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcantarilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 4, 2025	Águilas II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2025	Lorca Deportiva(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 20, 2025	Santomera(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 13, 2025	UCAM Murcia II(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Cartagena LU II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Deportiva Minera(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Santa Cruz(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Santomera(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alcantarilla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cartagena LU II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2025	Cartagena LU II 0-1 Alcantarilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 16, 2024	Alcantarilla 1-2 Cartagena LU II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Alcantarilla on Mar 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alcantarilla	0.5	1.6	6	4/15	7/15
Cartagena LU II	0.9	1.2	4	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Cartagena LU II	34	9	11	14	40	39	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcantarilla vs Cartagena LU II?: The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Alcantarilla.
Where and when is Alcantarilla vs Cartagena LU II played?: Alcantarilla vs Cartagena LU II is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.