Bala Azul vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Azul wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,748) and Santomera (1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bala Azul wins, 2 draws, 0 Santomera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Santomera 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Bala Azul 3-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Bala Azul 2-1 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Santomera 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Bala Azul on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 9 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Bala Azul vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs Santomera played?
- Bala Azul vs Santomera is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027El PalmarvsBalsicas Atlético
- Apr 18, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsUCAM Murcia II
- Apr 18, 2027Mazarrón FCvsOlímpico Totana
- Apr 18, 2027SFC MinervavsLos Garres
- Apr 18, 2027AlcantarillavsCartagena LU II
- Apr 18, 2027Unión MolinensevsAlgar
- Apr 18, 2027Águilas IIvsSan Javier
- Apr 18, 2027Santa CruzvsBullas Deportivo