SFC Minerva vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres
The Footlab model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SFC Minerva vs Los Garres?
SFC Minerva starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 SFC Minerva win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Los Garres win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | Los Garres 2-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | SFC Minerva 0-1 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 17, 2019 | SFC Minerva 0-2 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs SFC Minerva on Feb 21, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SFC Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 39 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Los Garres played?
- SFC Minerva vs Los Garres is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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