Match

Atlético Saltillo vs Acatlan: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo

Atlético SaltilloAcatlan

The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Saltillo vs Acatlan?

Atlético Saltillo starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,727).

Atlético Saltillo win66 %
Draw19 %
Acatlan win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Saltillo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Acatlan have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Saltillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2024Leones Negros(away)1-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 21, 2024Tritons Vallarta(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 13, 2024Colima(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 7, 2024Tecos(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2024Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Cimarrones(home)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Colima(home)1-3Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Ensenada(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026UA Zacatecas(home)4-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026Durango(home)0-3Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Saltillo score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Saltillo0.81.175/156/15
Acatlan1.72.728/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Acatlan266119397321

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Saltillo vs Acatlan?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Atlético Saltillo vs Acatlan played?
Atlético Saltillo vs Acatlan is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Saltillo and Acatlan

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