Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, Metepec
The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
Artesanos Metepec starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artesanos Metepec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Racing(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caja Oblatos CFD(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Poza Rica(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aguacateros CDU(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Artesanos Metepec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dragones de Oaxaca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec 2-1 Dragones de Oaxaca | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dragones de Oaxaca 1-2 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artesanos Metepec | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
- The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
- Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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