Where and when is FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca played?

FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca is played on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 8Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio

FC Santiago

Real Apodaca

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate FC Santiago (2,003) and Real Apodaca (1,996).

FC Santiago win48 %

Draw27 %

Real Apodaca win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Real Apodaca have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026	Zitacuaro(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	Ciervos(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Real Apodaca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	2-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(home)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Correcaminos UAT II(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Santiago win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Apodaca win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	FC Santiago 3-0 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 14, 2025	Real Apodaca 2-2 FC Santiago	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Santiago	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	6/15
Real Apodaca	1.5	1.0	7	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (51 points from 26 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 1st (66 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47	19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43	21	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca?: The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Real Apodaca.
Where and when is FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca played?: FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca is played on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.