Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Guerreros played?

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Guerreros is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Guerreros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, Fresnillo

Mineros de Fresnillo

Guerreros

The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Guerreros?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Mineros de Fresnillo (1,852) and Guerreros (1,824).

Mineros de Fresnillo win54 %

Draw23 %

Guerreros win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Fresnillo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Guerreros have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(away)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Tritons Vallarta(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Colima(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Leones Negros(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Los Cabos United(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Guerreros win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Guerreros 1-1 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2025	Mineros de Fresnillo 2-1 Guerreros	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15
Guerreros	1.2	1.4	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th in Liga Premier Serie A (39 points from 26 matches) and Guerreros sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39
9	Guerreros	26	8	5	13	38	42	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Guerreros?: The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Guerreros.
Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Guerreros played?: Mineros de Fresnillo vs Guerreros is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.