Where and when is Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina played?

Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias

Ciervos

Cañoneros Marina

The Footlab model makes Cañoneros Marina the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina?

Cañoneros Marina starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,548).

Ciervos win34 %

Draw26 %

Cañoneros Marina win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciervos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Chilpancingo(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	FC Santiago(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	0-2	Liga Premier Serie A

Cañoneros Marina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Racing de Veracruz(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026	Héroes de Zaci(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Tapachula(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Neza(home)	3-2	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ciervos win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Cañoneros Marina win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Cañoneros Marina 1-1 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 21, 2024	Ciervos 1-3 Cañoneros Marina	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 17, 2024	Cañoneros Marina 5-2 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 17, 2023	Ciervos 1-0 Cañoneros Marina	Liga Premier Serie B
Jan 28, 2023	Ciervos 1-1 Cañoneros Marina	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 10, 2022	Cañoneros Marina 3-0 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ciervos	0.9	1.7	2	10/15	8/15
Cañoneros Marina	1.0	2.1	3	4/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciervos sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (18 points from 26 matches) and Cañoneros Marina sit 11th (22 points from 24 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Cañoneros Marina	24	7	1	16	25	49	22
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20	50	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina?: The Footlab model makes Cañoneros Marina the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ciervos.
Where and when is Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina played?: Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.