Match

Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias

CiervosCañoneros Marina

The Footlab AI model makes Ciervos the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ciervos wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina?

On Elo ratings, Ciervos has 1,536 points and Cañoneros Marina 1,663.

48%25%27%
Ciervos winDrawCañoneros Marina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ciervos

Not enough data to predict the Ciervos lineup.

Cañoneros Marina

Not enough data to predict the Cañoneros Marina lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciervos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Acambaro(away)2-5Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Halcones Negros(home)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026Real Refineros(away)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Calor de San Pedro(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Artesanos Metepec(home)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Cañoneros Marina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Calor de San Pedro(home)1-7Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Artesanos Metepec(away)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 26, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)0-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ciervos win, 2 draws, 3 Cañoneros Marina wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2025Cañoneros Marina 1-1 CiervosLiga Premier Serie B
Sep 21, 2024Ciervos 1-3 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie B
Feb 17, 2024Cañoneros Marina 5-2 CiervosLiga Premier Serie B
Sep 17, 2023Ciervos 1-0 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie B
Jan 28, 2023Ciervos 1-1 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie B
Sep 10, 2022Cañoneros Marina 3-0 CiervosLiga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cañoneros Marina score 1.1 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ciervos0.92.708/1510/15
Cañoneros Marina1.12.625/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciervos sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (2 points from 7 matches) and Cañoneros Marina sit 10th (0 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Ciervos71065242
10Cañoneros Marina70072260

A question about Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina?
The Footlab AI model makes Ciervos the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Cañoneros Marina.
Where and when is Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina played?
Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina is played on October 17, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ciervos and Cañoneros Marina

Ready to know everything about football?