Atlético Tordesillas vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Salinas, Tordesillas
The Footlab model makes Atlético Tordesillas the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Real Ávila?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Atlético Tordesillas (1,922) and Real Ávila (1,893).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Tordesillas have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Real Ávila have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético Tordesillas win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Real Ávila win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas 0-2 Real Ávila | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Atlético Tordesillas 3-1 Real Ávila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Real Ávila 3-2 Atlético Tordesillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Atlético Tordesillas 2-1 Real Ávila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Real Ávila 2-0 Atlético Tordesillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Real Ávila 1-0 Atlético Tordesillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Tordesillas vs Real Ávila on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Tordesillas | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Ávila | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Tordesillas vs Real Ávila?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Tordesillas the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Real Ávila.
- Where and when is Atlético Tordesillas vs Real Ávila played?
- Atlético Tordesillas vs Real Ávila is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Salinas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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