Conquense vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Navalcarnero?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Conquense (1,914) and Navalcarnero (1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Navalcarnero have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Conquense win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Navalcarnero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Conquense 1-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Conquense 1-0 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Conquense on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conquense sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (60 points from 34 matches) and Navalcarnero sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 60 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Navalcarnero?
- The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Navalcarnero.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Navalcarnero played?
- Conquense vs Navalcarnero is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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