Conquense vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Navalcarnero?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Conquense (1,947) and Navalcarnero (1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conquense vs Navalcarnero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Navalcarnero have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Conquense wins, 1 draw, 2 Navalcarnero wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero 1-3 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Conquense 1-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Conquense 1-0 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Conquense on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conquense sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (13 points from 6 matches) and Navalcarnero sit 10th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Conquense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Conquense vs Navalcarnero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Navalcarnero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Navalcarnero.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Navalcarnero played?
- Conquense vs Navalcarnero is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027NumanciavsGimnástica Segoviana
- Mar 28, 2027SS ReyesvsA Madrid III
- Mar 28, 2027Getafe IIvsGuadalajara
- Mar 28, 2027RSD AlcalávsCalamocha
- Mar 28, 2027Atlético AstorgavsCF Talavera
- Mar 28, 2027Atlético TordesillasvsReal Ávila
- Mar 28, 2027Albacete IIvsReal Valladolid II
- Mar 28, 2027Calvo SotelovsSalamanca UDS