Real Ávila vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,893) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Ávila win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Ávila 2-1 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Gimnástica Segoviana 1-0 Real Ávila | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Gimnástica Segoviana 1-2 Real Ávila | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-1 Real Ávila | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Real Ávila 1-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Real Ávila 1-3 Gimnástica Segoviana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
- The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
- Real Ávila vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.