Match

Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaGimnástica Segoviana

The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

Numancia starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,837).

57%24%19%
Numancia winDrawGimnástica Segoviana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Numancia

4-4-2
  1. 18Pablo Cortés
  2. 9Jony González
  1. 14César Moreno
  2. 19I. Leon
  3. 8M. Gning
  4. 20J. Dominguez
  1. 23Borja López
  2. 4Pelayo Suárez
  3. 5Fran González
  4. 27S. Flores
  1. 13G. Sunico

Gimnástica Segoviana

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Lorenzo
  2. 15L. Brun
  1. 8Sergio Orviz
  2. 14Fer Llorente
  3. 23Sanchidrián
  4. 19Tito
  1. 21Alfredo Pedraza
  2. 2Luis Aguado
  3. 4H. Espierrez
  4. 5S. Lecea
  1. 13Arnau Rafús

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 29, 2026Oviedo(home)3-3Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Navalcarnero(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026CF Talavera(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Gimnástica Segoviana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 27, 2026Cultural Leonesa(home)0-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 17, 2026A Madrid III(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Real Valladolid II(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Numancia wins, 1 draw, 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 28, 2025Numancia 1-0 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 14, 2024Numancia 3-1 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 3, 2023Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 6, 2022Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 NumanciaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.20.977/155/15
Gimnástica Segoviana1.11.328/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Numancia sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (13 points from 8 matches) and Gimnástica Segoviana sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Numancia83418413
9Gimnástica Segoviana8242141310

A question about Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
Where and when is Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Numancia and Gimnástica Segoviana

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