Where and when is Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?

Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

Numancia

Gimnástica Segoviana

The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

Numancia starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,846).

Numancia win54 %

Draw26 %

Gimnástica Segoviana win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Gimnástica Segoviana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Madrid II(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Valladolid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Numancia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 28, 2025	Numancia 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 14, 2024	Numancia 3-1 Gimnástica Segoviana	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 3, 2023	Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 6, 2022	Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Numancia	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15
Gimnástica Segoviana	0.8	1.3	3	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana?: The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
Where and when is Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?: Numancia vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.