Match

SS Reyes vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes

SS ReyesA Madrid III

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SS Reyes vs A Madrid III?

SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,848).

SS Reyes win56 %
Draw25 %
A Madrid III win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SS Reyes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026UD Logroñés(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Alcoyano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Alcoyano(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
A Madrid III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Móstoles(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026SS Reyes II(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Las Rozas(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Unión Adarve(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SS Reyes1.30.957/156/15
A Madrid III2.11.4212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SS Reyes342176512770

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs A Madrid III?
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for A Madrid III.
Where and when is SS Reyes vs A Madrid III played?
SS Reyes vs A Madrid III is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SS Reyes and A Madrid III

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