Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 9Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán
The Footlab model makes Atletico Tucuman the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for River Plate. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Atletico Tucuman (1,871) and River Plate (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Tucuman have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; River Plate have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Tucuman win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 River Plate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | River Plate 0-1 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Atletico Tucuman 2-0 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 9, 2025 | River Plate 1-0 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 14, 2024 | River Plate 4-1 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Atletico Tucuman 0-0 River Plate | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 22, 2023 | River Plate 1-0 Atletico Tucuman | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Tucuman score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; River Plate score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| River Plate | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Tucuman sit 13th in Liga Profesional Argentina (14 points from 16 matches) and River Plate sit 2nd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Atletico Tucuman | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Tucuman the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for River Plate.
- Where and when is Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate played?
- Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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