Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 9Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, Junín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Belgrano Cordoba the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Sarmiento Junin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba?
Belgrano Cordoba starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarmiento Junin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Belgrano Cordoba have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 2-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Racing Club(away) | 0-1 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sarmiento Junin win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Belgrano Cordoba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba 4-0 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Sarmiento Junin 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Belgrano Cordoba 4-1 Sarmiento Junin | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Sarmiento Junin 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Apr 3, 2023 | Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Belgrano Cordoba vs Sarmiento Junin on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarmiento Junin score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Belgrano Cordoba score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento Junin | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarmiento Junin sit 11th in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 16 matches) and Belgrano Cordoba sit 5th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 26 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba?
- The Footlab model makes Belgrano Cordoba the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Sarmiento Junin.
- Where and when is Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba played?
- Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026Defensa Y JusticiavsGimnasia M.
- Sep 13, 2026HuracanvsRacing Club
- Sep 13, 2026BanfieldvsBarracas Central
- Sep 13, 2026Estudiantes L.P.vsPlatense
- Sep 13, 2026Boca JuniorsvsCentral Cordoba de Santiago
- Sep 13, 2026TigrevsRosario Central
- Sep 13, 2026IndependientevsSan Lorenzo
- Sep 13, 2026Atletico TucumanvsRiver Plate