Where and when is Tigre vs Rosario Central played?

Tigre vs Rosario Central is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Dellagiovanna, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tigre vs Rosario Central: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 9Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Dellagiovanna, San Fernando, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Tigre

Rosario Central

The Footlab model makes Tigre the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Rosario Central. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tigre vs Rosario Central?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Tigre (1,871) and Rosario Central (1,956).

Tigre win46 %

Draw30 %

Rosario Central win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigre have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rosario Central have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tigre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Atletico Torque(away)	1-2	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 15, 2026	Aldosivi(away)	0-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 12, 2026	Atletico Torque(home)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026	River Plate(home)	1-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 6, 2026	Belgrano Cordoba(home)	0-0	Liga Profesional Argentina

Rosario Central
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Corinthians(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 16, 2026	Barracas Central(away)	1-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 14, 2026	Corinthians(home)	0-0	CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 7, 2026	Aldosivi(home)	2-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026	River Plate(away)	1-0	Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tigre win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Rosario Central win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Rosario Central 1-1 Tigre	Liga Profesional Argentina
May 21, 2024	Rosario Central 1-1 Tigre	Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 3, 2023	Tigre 2-2 Rosario Central	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 8, 2022	Tigre 3-1 Rosario Central	Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 4, 2022	Tigre 2-0 Rosario Central	Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 17, 2019	Rosario Central 0-2 Tigre	Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Rosario Central vs Tigre on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tigre score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rosario Central score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tigre	1.1	0.8	6	6/15	5/15
Rosario Central	1.1	0.8	6	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tigre sit 10th in Liga Profesional Argentina (20 points from 16 matches) and Rosario Central sit 4th (28 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Rosario Central	5	3	1	1	5	3	10
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20	16	28
8	Tigre	5	2	2	1	4	2	8
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18	15	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tigre vs Rosario Central?: The Footlab model makes Tigre the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Rosario Central.
Where and when is Tigre vs Rosario Central played?: Tigre vs Rosario Central is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Dellagiovanna, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.