Where and when is Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. played?

Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 9Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Defensa Y Justicia

Gimnasia M.

The Footlab model makes Defensa Y Justicia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gimnasia M.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Defensa Y Justicia (1,802) and Gimnasia M. (1,862).

Defensa Y Justicia win40 %

Draw29 %

Gimnasia M. win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensa Y Justicia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gimnasia M. have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Defensa Y Justicia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 17, 2026	Velez Sarsfield(away)	1-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Newells Old Boys(home)	2-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 1, 2026	Estudiantes L.P.(away)	0-3	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo Riestra(home)	2-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 24, 2026	Aldosivi(home)	1-1	Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gimnasia L.P.(away)	3-2	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 18, 2026	Talleres Cordoba(home)	3-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Instituto Cordoba(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 1, 2026	Union Santa Fe(home)	2-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 28, 2026	San Lorenzo(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Defensa Y Justicia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gimnasia M. win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2026	Gimnasia M. 2-1 Defensa Y Justicia	Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia on May 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Defensa Y Justicia score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia M. score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Defensa Y Justicia	1.3	1.9	1	11/15	10/15
Gimnasia M.	1.2	1.1	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Defensa Y Justicia sit 10th in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 16 matches) and Gimnasia M. sit 11th (19 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gimnasia M.	6	4	0	2	9	5	12
6	Defensa Y Justicia	5	2	2	1	6	7	8
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18	21	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	19

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?: The Footlab model makes Defensa Y Justicia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gimnasia M..
Where and when is Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. played?: Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.