Where and when is Aubstadt vs Illertissen played?

Aubstadt vs Illertissen is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aubstadt vs Illertissen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt

Aubstadt

Illertissen

The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aubstadt vs Illertissen?

Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,841).

Aubstadt win26 %

Draw24 %

Illertissen win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aubstadt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	TSV 1860 München(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	Buchbach(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Wacker Burghausen(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026	FC Schweinfurt 05(home)	5-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 20, 2026	Würzburger FV(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Illertissen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Bayreuth(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	SpVgg Unterhaching(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Landsberg(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Schwaben Augsburg(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Eichstätt(away)	3-0	Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aubstadt win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Illertissen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 6, 2026	Illertissen 1-0 Aubstadt	Regionalliga - Bayern
Sep 23, 2025	Aubstadt 3-5 Illertissen	Regionalliga - Bayern
Nov 16, 2024	Aubstadt 1-3 Illertissen	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 2, 2024	Illertissen 3-1 Aubstadt	Regionalliga - Bayern
Apr 20, 2024	Aubstadt 0-2 Illertissen	Regionalliga - Bayern
Oct 3, 2023	Illertissen 1-0 Aubstadt	Regionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Aubstadt on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aubstadt	1.7	1.2	2	10/15	7/15
Illertissen	2.3	0.9	7	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Illertissen	5	3	2	0	12	4	11
12	Aubstadt	4	1	2	1	10	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Illertissen?: The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Aubstadt.
Where and when is Aubstadt vs Illertissen played?: Aubstadt vs Illertissen is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.